I woke up to a rude awakening this morning when I went threw to check some of my messages on DA. On the front page where random journals are mixed in with news posts I found a journal that someone had written that said that SOPA was passed. This isn't the case but my heart stopped for a few beats and I almost passed out, seriously I was that freaked. The journal was a rant and then it went on into other wild claims that the bill was renamed to something else and passed. After hitting up some mainstream news sites I got a little comfort from the fact that this rabble-rouser was just stirring things up.
I was tempted to leave him an angry message for scaring the crap out of me but that's just what his message was designed to do.
We all know about how MegaUpload was taken down yesterday [1-19-2012]. Even if they can fight off the legal recourse of the indictments and seizures of property its unlikely that they will be back on their feet before some form of the SOPA and PIPA bills pass. The move by law enforcement was a tactical attempt by the RIAA and MPAA to cripple MU from doing business if they do escape punishment from these seemingly trumped up charges. While they will be grandfathered from prosecution of the SOPA and PIPA powers of the entertainment industry; they will essentially be required by law to make the necessary changes to their service before they open their doors again. Contracts will have expired for storage rental in their cloud, hardware will have to be globally reconfigured and hundreds of IT techs will be needed to do this. The cost of getting all this squared away is probably in the thousands of dollars just for the programing end of it but doing it all in days or even weeks will likely cost millions.
By this method they will have essentially destroyed any hope of MU returning, provided these bills pass. The same can be said for other business on line. Services like YouTube, LiveStream and Join.me will be required to make these kinds of radical changes to adapt to the legislation overnight likely causing a massive service blackout as the businesses who can make the changes sprint to put them into effect. For start up services or content services like those mentioned the consequence will likely be so catastrophic that they will be forced to close their doors. They can't control what their users post and at a great cost for failing to do so they would close their doors so their customers didn't make them accomplices from the raised bar of copyright liability.
That isn't all, other start ups like DeviantArt, InkBunny, FurAffinity, SheezyArt and any number of other currently legitimate mainstream communities will freeze. By the volume of content they provide vs. the amount of revenue they make from advertisements the lifeline of these businesses will be to easily severed and no one but the most desperate and loyal patrons will come to their rescue and sadly it won't be enough to keep these services going.
This isn't the end of the internet its just the end of the American host, websites will pick up and leave the United States in droves. For a while advertisements will stay on American shores but they too will go over seas. The only saving grace for communities like FA will be if the administration and ownership of the business is in a non extradition country that is outside of US jurisdiction of law. As we have seen with The Pirate Bay and MegaUpload this is only so effective.
While these sites operated for years without interference of international government the forces at work by the United States Department of Justice did manage to raid facilities and in the latter example actually arrest the CEO of the corporation the believed responsible for these "heinous" (written sarcastically) acts of copyright infringement. While those businesses will be free to continue to operate the owners and staff members will be essentially imprisoned in what ever country they find refuge in. Safe from extradition to courts which would seal them away but unable to leave for fear of the legal reprisal due to these pieces of legislation.
And what of the Hollywood companies during all this? They have been rich this entire time, they have been made to hurt a little by the consequence of the piracy they enabled by hiding their head in the sand to technology and software. While using the DMCA as a weapon against their own consumers they ignore the state of the media they release, instead of fixing the problems the cry out for more power while abusing what they already have against everyday citizens.
Children, mothers and fathers, Students and even government employees have been convicted and fined with penalties meant for organized crime. Foreign citizens have been extradited to the US for prosecution for something as simple as downloading music. If these bills pass they will still be rich and everyone, the world over, will be poorer for it. They will control ever piece of media with an iron grip on distribution and usage. "Piracy" , as they see it, won't stop it will just go further underground. Those services that haven't been making money sharing it ["pirated" content] will surely start just to pay the the bills to keep their services running.
The entertainment industry needs to fix the problem before they compound it. They have spent to long ignoring the problems with how they do business. While its true they have been bleeding cash its not because people are evil its because their outdated business model enables people to abuse the innocent nature of file sharing. DRM is not enforced, it is not universal a crossed all media and when it is, it's incompatible with everyday devices that consumers own. People find it easier to buy the broken forms of physical packaged digital media and rip the content into naked [insecure] formats and the "bad" people share those same files online.
The system of abuse starts with the way the entertainment industry is handling their products. DRM needs to be enforced and it needs to be easy to use so that consumers will tolerate using it. In this Digital Millennium we expect to find our entertainment online. Hulu YouTube and Pandora are wildly popular services. Itunes and Amazon have seen a massive jump in business in the wake of the MU take down however these sources of legitimate content won't last so long as people still have the opportunity to easily find the content from these outdated forms of digital media distribution.
The entertainment industry started all this mess, it time they fixed it and its shouldn't be by giving them a bigger stick.